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This systematic review and meta-analysis compared symptom improvement in placebo groups across randomized controlled trials involving nine psychiatric disorders: major depressive disorder (MDD), generalized anxiety disorder (GAD), panic disorder, attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD), post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD), social phobia, mania, obsessive-compulsive disorder (OCD), and schizophrenia. The analysis included 90 studies, with 10 studies per diagnostic category, and used random-effects models to calculate pooled pre-to-post effect sizes (Cohen \(d_{av}\)) and 95% confidence intervals. Symptom severity improved significantly within placebo groups across all nine disorders, but the magnitude of improvement differed significantly between diagnoses (Q=88.5; 8 degrees of freedom; P≤0.001). MDD demonstrated the largest pooled effect size (1.40; 95% CI, 1.24–1.56), followed by GAD (1.23; 95% CI, 1.06–1.41), whereas schizophrenia showed the smallest effect size (0.59; 95% CI, 0.41–0.76), followed by OCD (0.65; 95% CI, 0.51–0.78). Substantial heterogeneity was observed for GAD, mania, MDD, PTSD, and schizophrenia, with \(I^2>75\%\), indicating considerable variation in placebo-associated symptom changes across trials. In multivariable analysis, the proportion of women in a study was also associated with greater placebo-associated improvement (slope, 0.0076; 95% CI, 0.0026–0.0126; P=0.003). The findings demonstrate that symptom improvement in placebo groups differs across psychiatric diagnoses and may influence the interpretation and design of clinical trials; however, pre-to-post improvement in a placebo group should not be interpreted as a causal placebo effect because natural symptom fluctuation, regression to the mean, and other nonspecific factors may contribute

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This systematic review and meta-analysis compared symptom improvement in placebo groups across randomized controlled trials involving nine psychiatric disorders: major depressive disorder (MDD), generalized anxiety disorder (GAD), panic disorder, attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD), post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD), social phobia, mania, obsessive-compulsive disorder (OCD), and schizophrenia. The analysis included 90 studies, with 10 studies per diagnostic category, and used random-effects models to calculate pooled pre-to-post effect sizes (Cohen \(d_{av}\)) and 95% confidence intervals. Symptom severity improved significantly within placebo groups across all nine disorders, but the magnitude of improvement differed significantly between diagnoses (Q=88.5; 8 degrees of freedom; P≤0.001). MDD demonstrated the largest pooled effect size (1.40; 95% CI, 1.24–1.56), followed by GAD (1.23; 95% CI, 1.06–1.41), whereas schizophrenia showed the smallest effect size (0.59; 95% CI, 0.41–0.76), followed by OCD (0.65; 95% CI, 0.51–0.78). Substantial heterogeneity was observed for GAD, mania, MDD, PTSD, and schizophrenia, with \(I^2>75\%\), indicating considerable variation in placebo-associated symptom changes across trials. In multivariable analysis, the proportion of women in a study was also associated with greater placebo-associated improvement (slope, 0.0076; 95% CI, 0.0026–0.0126; P=0.003). The findings demonstrate that symptom improvement in placebo groups differs across psychiatric diagnoses and may influence the interpretation and design of clinical trials; however, pre-to-post improvement in a placebo group should not be interpreted as a causal placebo effect because natural symptom fluctuation, regression to the mean, and other nonspecific factors may contribute
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